Iowa Electronic Markets Predicts Winners, Losers

Based on its results so far, no matter how well Barack Obama does in the Iowa caucuses on Thursday, Hillary Clinton is still going to be the Democratic nominee. The Des Moines Register poll showed Obama leading Clinton on the eve of the Iowa party caucuses by a margin of 32 percent to 25 percent on Wednesday. But the IOWA ELECTRONIC MARKETS at the University of Iowa makes a different prediction. Shares on Clinton as of midnight Tuesday, the most recent available, were worth 63.3 cents, or more than twice as much as those on Obama, worth 24.4 cents.