IEM Is Reliable Forecast of Election Results

If you need the most reliable forecast available on the outcome of the U.S. election, prediction markets are the place to look. In predicting who will win an election and by how much more than 100 days ahead of the actual vote, the Iowa Electronic Markets, operated by the UNIVERSITY OF IOWA'S TIPPIE COLLEGE OF BUSINESS, is more accurate than polls 74 percent of the time, according to the International Journal of Forecasting. Business Day is published in New Zealand.