Bush Prospects Tracked by IEM

In an article about how stock markets might be affected by the presidential elections, it's noted that President Bush's predicted margin of victory shrank from six percent to one percent on the University of Iowa's IOWA ELECTRONIC MARKETS. But Bush's recent progress toward the exits in Iraq, coupled with continued strong job gains at home, are lifting the incumbent's prospects. "Only a fool would bet on this election," says Larry Sabato, director of the University of Virginia's Center for Politics.