Keywords

	Forrest D. Nelson Professor Henry B. Tippie Research Fellow
	Economics W386  John Pappajohn Bus Bldg The University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA 52242-1994	Ph: 319-335-0854 Fax: 319-335-1956 E-mail: forrest-nelson@uiowa.edu

Academic History

• PhD in Economics, University of Rochester, 1975
• MS in Economics, University of Rochester, 1974
• BS in Agricultural Economics, Colorado State University, 1968

Expertise

• Prediction Markets
• Qualitative and Limited Dependent Variables

Awards

• Henry B. Tippie Research Fellow, 2005

Selected Publications

• Evolution of Subjective Hurricane Risk Perceptions: A Bayesian Approach, David L. Kelly, David Letson, Forrest D. Nelson, David S. Nolan, Daniel Solis, Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, vol 81, 2012, 644-663
• Prediction Market Accuracy in the Long Run, Joyce E. Berg, Forrest D. Nelson, Thomas A. Rietz, International Journal of Forecasting, vol 24, 2008, 283-298
• Using Search Query Logs to Predict Influenza Activity, Phillip Polgreen, Yiling Chen, David Pennoch, Forrest D. Nelson

Other Work

• Using Prediction Markets to Forecast Infectious Diseases, Forrest D. Nelson, Philip Polgreen, Chapman and Hall/CRC, 2010
• Results from a Dozen Years of Election Futures Markets Research, Joyce E. Berg, Robert Forsythe, Forrest D. Nelson, Thomas A. Rietz, Handbook of Results in Experimental Economics, vol 1, 2008, 742-751

Prior Positions

• Visiting Professor, Economics Institute, Aarhus University, Ärhus Denmark, September 1990 - May 1991
• Associate Professor, Department of Economics, College of Business Administration, University of Iowa, Iowa City, Ia., August 1980 - June 1989
• Assistant Professor, Division of Humanities and Social Sciences, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, Ca., August 1975 - July 1980
• Research Associate, National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA, April 1974 - July 1975
• Administrative Faculty Position and Group Leader, Research Data Analysis Group, Statistical Laboratory, Colo. St. Univ., Fort Collins, Co., August 1968 - July 1971

Presentations

• Iowa Electronic Markets - 2012 Presidential Election, American Statistical Association, Chicago Chapter, ASA, Chicago, May 2012
• Can a Market serve as a Modern Day Oracle, Cornell College, Mt. Vernon, IA, February 2010
• Using Prediction Markets to Forecast Influenza, IMEDS 2009, International Meeting of Emerging Disease Society, Vienna, Austria, February 2009
• Medical Information Markets, American Economic Association Winter Meetings-2008, AEA, New Orleans, LA Jan 5-10, January 2008

Committees and Professional Service

• Elected Faculty Council, 2008-current
• Undergraduate Committee, 2000-current
• Iowa Electronic Market Steering Committee, 1988-current
• Promotion and Tenure, 2011-2012
• Funded Retirement and Insurance Committee, 2006-2008

Additional Training

• Introduction to FERPA, 2003
• NIH human subjects training, 2003