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George R. Neumann
Professor
George Daly Research Professor of Economics
Economics
W388
John Pappajohn Bus Bldg
The University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA 52242-1994
Ph: 319-335-0850
Fax: 319-335-1956
E-mail:
george-neumann@uiowa.edu
Academic History
PhD in Economics, Northwestern University, 1974
MA in Economics, Northwestern University, 1969
BA in Economics, Le Moyne College, 1968
Expertise
Economics of Union Activity
Influenza Models
Stochastic Models of Labor Markets
Using Markets to Aggregate Information with Small Numbers of Traders
Selected Publications
Job Congruence, Academic Achievement, and Earnings, George R. Neumann, Neil O'litsky, Steve Robbins, Labour Economics, vol 16, 2009, 503-509
Goodness-of-Fit Tests for Functional Data, George R. Neumann, Frederico Bugni, Peter Hall, Joel L. Horowitz, Econometrics Journal, 2009, S1-S18
Searching for Google's Value: Using Prediction Markets to Forecast Market Capitalization Prior to an Initial Public Offering, Joyce E. Berg, George R. Neumann, Thomas A. Rietz, Management Science: Finance, vol 55, 2009, 348-361
Statement on Prediction Markets, George R. Neumann, Kenneth J. Arrow, Robert E. Litan, Robert E. Forsythe, Michael Goram, Robert W. Hahn, Robin Hanson, Daniel Kahneman, John O. Ledyard, Saul Levmore, Paul R. Milgrom, Forrest D. Nelson, Marco Ottaviani, Charles R. Plott, Thomas C. Schelling, Robert J. Schiller, Vernon Smith, Erik C. Snowberg, Cass R. Sunstein, Paul C. Tetlock, Philip E. Tetlock, Hal R. Varian, Justin Wolfers, Eric Zitzewitz, Science, 2008
The Returns to Skill, George R. Neumann, Beth Ingram, Labour Economics, vol 13(1), 2005, 35-59
Equilibrium Search Models and the Transition from School to Work, George R. Neumann, Audra Bowlus, Nick Kiefer, International Economic Review, vol 42, 2001, 317-43
Working Papers
The Effect of Revolution on Income Distribution: The Case of China, George R. Neumann, Yiling T. Zhao
Why Do Prediction Markets Forecast Better Than Polls: A General Equilibrium Model of Information Aggregation, George R. Neumann
Other Work
The Job Ladder, George R. Neumann, Audra Bowlus, Structural Labour Market Models and Employment Dynamics/Elsevier, 2006, 217-35
Job Destruction, George R. Neumann, Panel Data and Structural Labor Market Models, 2000, 67-83
Forecasting Elections: A Market Alternative to Polls, George R. Neumann, Robert Forsythe, Forrest Nelson, T. Palfrey, ed. Laboratory Research in Political Economy, 1991, 69-112
Prior Positions
Research Professor of Economics, The University of Aarhus, February 2002 - June 2002
Visiting Research Professor of Economics, Centre, The University of Tilburg, May 1999 - June 1999
Fellow, The Tinbergen Institute, May 1996 - June 1996
Visiting Professor of Economics, Princeton University, August 1990 - July 1991
Visiting Associate Professor of Economics, Northwestern University, August 1982 - June 1984
Associate Professor of Economics, University of Chicago Graduate School of Business, June 1974 - June 1984
Visiting Research Professor of Economics, Aarhus University, August 1983 - September 1983
Visiting associate Professor, Cornell University, August 1979 - December 1979
Assistant Professor of Economics, The Pennsylvania State University, 1972 - 1974
Review and Editorial Work
Referee, Austrian National Science Foundation, 2004 - current
Referee, Israel National Science Foundation, 2003 - current
Referee, Leverhulme Trust, 2003 - current
Referee, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, 2002 - current
Referee, Journal of Lifetime Data Analysis, 1998 - current
Referee, Journal of Labor Economics, July 1991 - current
Referee, Canadian Journal of Statistics, 1990 - current
Referee, International Economic Review, 1990 - current
Referee, Canadian Journal of Economics, 1988 - current
Referee, Journal of Business & Economics Statistics, 1985 - current
Referee, Economic Inquiry, 1984 - current
Referee, Skandanavian Journal of Economics, 1984 - current
Referee, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 1982 - current
Referee, Industrial and Labor Relations Review, 1981 - current
Referee, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 1978 - current
Referee, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1978 - current
Referee, American Economic Review, 1976 - current
Referee, Journal of Business, 1975 - current
Referee, Journal of Law & Economics, 1975 - current
Referee, Journal of Legal Studies, 1975 - current
Referee, Econometrica, 1974 - current
Referee, U. S. National Science Foundation, January 1974 - current
Presentations
Reflections on Graduate Education, Professor John Kennan's 65th Birthday Celebration, UW Department of Economics; Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Madison, WI
Why Do Prediction Markets Work?, Applied Mathematical and Computational Sciences, AMCS, Math Dept, University of Iowa, February 2012
Forecasting in Political Science: Markets vs. Models, University of Western Ontario, London, Ontario Canada, November 2011
Joel Horowit'zs Contributions to Econometrics, Conference to celebrate Prof. Joel Horowitz's 70th Birthday, University College London Department of Economics; CMAPP, London, UK, June 2011
Nobel Price Award Conference for Dale Mortensen, Nobel Price Award Conference for Dale Mortensen, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL, April 2011
Using Prediction Markets to Forecast Influenza, IMEDS 2009, International Meeting of Emerging Disease Society, Vienna, Austria, February 2009
University of Copenhagen Conference on Forecasting, University of Copenhagen, DK, Copenhagen, DK, December 2008
Danish Labor Economics Conference, Aarhus University, Odense, DK, August 2008
Medical Information Markets, American Economic Association Winter Meetings-2008, AEA, New Orleans, LA Jan 5-10, January 2008
Committees and Professional Service
Graduate Committee, 2011-2012
Recruiting Committee, 2011-2012